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What Monsters are Lurking in Your Portfolio?

10/20/2020

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​It’s the scariest time of the year. Halloween is here. It’s time for trick-or-treaters, haunted houses, spooky home decorations, and more.
 
This may be the scariest time of the year, but it only lasts a month. The truth is there could be gaps in your investment strategy that could come back to haunt you for years or even decades. Below are a few common retirement planning mistakes that can have frightening long-term consequences. If any of these sound familiar, it may be time to meet with a financial professional.

Wrong Risk Tolerance

​Asset allocation is an important part of any retirement strategy. Your allocation influences your risk exposure and your potential return. Generally, risk and return go hand-in-hand. Assets that offer greater potential return usually also have higher levels of risk. You can use asset allocation to find the right mix of assets for your goals and risk tolerance.
 
Having the wrong allocation can be problematic. For example, many people have less tolerance for risk as they approach retirement. As you get closer to retirement, you have less time to recover from a loss and thus less tolerance for risk. However, if you don’t adjust your allocation, you could have more risk exposure than is appropriate. A downturn could substantially impact your nest egg.
 
How can you make sure your allocation aligns with your risk tolerance? A consultation with a financial professional is a good first step. They can analyze your risk tolerance and your portfolio and then suggest action that can eliminate gaps and minimize risk.

No Risk Protection Tools

​Asset allocation is one way to reduce risk, but it’s not the only way. You could also use tools that offer growth potential with limited downside exposure. For example, certain types of annuities offer potential growth with downside protection. You can participate in returns linked to the market without experiencing volatility and risk. Annuities aren’t right for everyone, however. Be sure to talk to a financial professional about whether they make sense for your strategy.

Impulsive Decisions

It’s natural to feel stress and anxiety when the market turns downward. Take the first quarter of 2020 for example. When the COVID pandemic began in late February, the S&P 500 declined by 33.93% in a month. You may have felt tempted to sell your investments and move to “safer” assets. However, had you done so, you may have missed out on the market’s bounce back. Since March 23, the S&P 500 has climbed 49.35%.1
 
The problem with impulsive decisions to move to safety is that they can often suppress your returns over time. From 1995 through 2015, the S&P 500 averaged a return of 9.85% per year. Over that same period, the average equity investor averaged a return of only 5.19%.2
 
Why the discrepancy in returns? Investors often make decisions based on emotion rather than a long-term strategy. While those decisions may feel right in the moment, they could lead to lost opportunity as the investor misses out on a market recovery. A financial professional can help you focus on the long-term and avoid decisions that may do more harm than good.

Infrequent Reviews

When’s the last time you reviewed your investment strategy with a financial professional? If it’s been a while, now may be the time to do so. A lot can change in a few months or even a year. Your goals and needs may change. Your tolerance for risk could change. Your contributions to your retirement accounts may change. This is especially true during the COVID pandemic, when economic news seems to vary on a monthly basis.
 
Let’s schedule a review today and find the monsters hiding in your investment strategy. Contact us today at Heritage Financial North. We welcome the opportunity to consult with you and help you implement the right strategy for your needs and goals. Let’s connect today and start the conversation.
 
1https://www.google.com/search?q=INDEXSP:.INX&tbm=fin&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgecRowi3w8sc9YSntSWtOXmNU5eIKzsgvd80rySypFBLnYoOyeKW4uTj1c_UNDM0qi4t5FrHyePq5uEYEB1jpefpFAAAU6wGESAAAAA#scso=_QQBhX8b3K5K-tQbo56XwCw7:0
2https://www.thebalance.com/why-average-investors-earn-below-average-market-returns-2388519
 
Advisory Services Offered Through Change Path LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor. Heritage Financial North and Change Path LLC are not affiliated. Licensed Insurance Professional. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. No information on this website is intended to provide and should not be relied upon for or construed as accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. Neither Change Path, LLC not its representatives give tax or legal advice.
 
Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 20420 - 2020/9/18

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COVID Economic Update: Fed Chairman Says Recovery Will Take Years

10/12/2020

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On Wednesday, September 16, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell offered his assessment of the economic recovery. The press conference offered some positive news, but also a sobering prediction that a full economic recovery will take years.1
 
The good news is that the Fed has cut its 2020 median unemployment rate projection to 7.6%, down from a 9.3% forecast in June. The Fed also adjusted its projected 2020 GDP reduction to 3.7%, down from a 6.5% decline that was projected in June. GDP, which stands for gross domestic product, is a broad measure of economic growth. A decline in GDP means the economy is contracting rather than expanding.1
 
Powell also said that the Fed had shifted its focus to employment growth rather than inflation control. That means the Fed expects to keep interest rates at or near zero until the economy is near maximum employment and inflation is projected to exceed 2%. He added that it will likely take years before the economy has reached those thresholds.1
 
While low interest rates may be good for borrowers and investors, Powell’s comments indicate that the Fed believes the economy is years away from a full recovery. He indicated that unemployment is still four times higher than the pre-pandemic level.1
 
“That just tells you that the labor market has improved, but it’s a long way from maximum employment,” Powell said.1

Stock Market Returns

The investment markets continue their recovery from the downturn that hit in March of this year. Through September 16, the indexes have the following year-to-date returns:
 
S&P 500: 3.39%2
DJIA: -2.90%3
NASDAQ: 20.19%4
 
While the markets have mostly recovered from their losses earlier in the year, volatility can strike at any time. That’s especially true should the COVID pandemic worsen or if the economy suffers continued damage. There also may be increasing uncertainty as the election approaches.
 
If you're concerned about risk, let’s talk about it. There are a wide range of strategies and tools we can implement to minimize risk and protect your retirement income  . Let’s connect today and discuss your needs, goals and concerns. At Heritage Financial North, we welcome the opportunity to help you implement a strategy based on your objectives.
 
 
1https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/16/economy/federal-reserve-september-meeting/index.html
2https://www.google.com/search?q=INDEXSP:.INX&tbm=fin&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgecRowi3w8sc9YSntSWtOXmNU5eIKzsgvd80rySypFBLnYoOyeKW4uTj1c_UNDM0qi4t5FrHyePq5uEYEB1jpefpFAAAU6wGESAAAAA#scso=_nHNjX8_WMNLKtQbPmoKICQ7:0,_BHtjX7uKPNqttQbohYywCQ7:0
3https://www.google.com/search?q=INDEXDJX:.DJI&tbm=fin&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgecRozC3w8sc9YSmtSWtOXmNU4eIKzsgvd80rySypFBLjYoOyeKS4uDj0c_UNkgsry3kWsfJ6-rm4Rrh4RVjpuXh5AgAzsV5OSAAAAA#scso=_hH9jX4eyE5m1tAbHirPABA7:0

Advisory Services Offered Through Change Path LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor. Heritage Financial North and Change Path LLC are not affiliated. Licensed Insurance Professional. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. No information on this website is intended to provide and should not be relied upon for or construed as accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. Neither Change Path, LLC not its representatives give tax or legal advice.
 
 
Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 20415 - 2020/9/17
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Has 2020 Volatility Thrown Your Allocation Out of Whack?

9/15/2020

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The financial markets have been on a wild ride in 2020. The year began with a continuation of the bull market that started in 2009. The longest bull market in history, however, came to an abrupt end with the arrival of the COVID-19 pandemic.1
 
From February 20 to March 23, the S&P 500 fell by 33.67%. From that lowpoint through August 14, the index has climbed 50%. In fact, the S&P 500 has recouped all earlier losses and is now in positive territory year-to-date.2
 
However, that doesn’t mean your portfolio is back where it started at the beginning of the year. Your portfolio is probably allocated across a variety of asset classes. The exact allocation should be based on your specific needs, goals and risk tolerance.
 
Diversification, or the allocation of funds across many different assets, helps to minimize risk exposure. If one asset performs poorly, only that portion of the allocation suffers. The loss may be offset by gains in other asset classes.
 
Your various asset classes are always moving in different directions. For example, consider a few asset classes and their index performance through July of this year:3
 
BloomBarc US 1-5 Yr Government Idx (Short-term Government Treasuries): 4.36%
Bloomberg Commodity Index TR (Commodities): -14.80%
S&P 500 Index (Large-Cap U.S. Stocks): 2.38%
S&P 600 Smallcap (Small-cap U.S. Stocks): -14.48%
 
That’s just a sampling of some common asset classes that are often included in diversified portfolios. Over time, your allocation becomes out of balance. For example, your allocation to small cap stocks may have declined this year as the asset class has declined in value. Similarly, your allocation to short-term treasuries may have increased as those assets have risen in value. The result is an allocation that may be very different than what you intended.
 
One strategy is to review and rebalance your portfolio regularly. In fact, you can set your account up for automatic rebalancing, so at regular periods, assets will be sold and purchased to get back to your original allocation.
 
If you haven’t reviewed your allocation lately, it’s possible it doesn’t align with your current goals and risk tolerance. We can help you implement the right allocation for your needs and continue to rebalance the portfolio on an ongoing basis.
 
Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. Contact us today at Heritage Financial North.
 
1https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/11/investing/bear-market-stocks-recession/index.html
2https://www.google.com/search?q=INDEXSP:.INX&tbm=fin&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgecRowi3w8sc9YSntSWtOXmNU5eIKzsgvd80rySypFBLnYoOyeKW4uTj1c_UNDM0qi4t5FrHyePq5uEYEB1jpefpFAAAU6wGESAAAAA#scso=_StQ2X43rM4q_tQadupGwDA1:0
3https://personal.vanguard.com/us/funds/tools/benchmarkreturns
 
Advisory Services Offered Through Change Path LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor. Heritage Financial North and Change Path LLC are not affiliated. Licensed Insurance Professional. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. No information on this website is intended to provide and should not be relied upon for or construed as accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. Neither Change Path, LLC not its representatives give tax or legal advice.
 
Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 20364-2020/8/20
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Consider These Factors Before You Move into a Retirement Community

8/8/2018

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Are you considering moving into a retirement community? That could be a smart move. Retirement communities are popular because they usually offer a wide range of activities, amenities and socialization opportunities. They also offer support for each phase of retirement, from independent living to assisted living to skilled nursing care.
 
You may find a retirement community helpful because it gives you the chance to enjoy your independence while also having support and medical providers nearby. You also may make a whole network of new friends, as all of your neighbors will be like-minded retirees. In fact, regular socialization with others could reduce your stress level and your risk of cognitive disorders like Alzheimer’s.
 
Before you sign the contract, though, it’s important to do your due diligence and ask tough questions. Every community will put its best face forward during the sales process. Not all communities are the same, however. Below are a few factors to think about as you consider your retirement community options:

Community Finances
 

Your retirement community is meant to be your final home. You may transition over time from independent living to assisted living or even skilled nursing care. However, the idea is that you’ll never have to move again after you move into the community. You could be there for several decades.
 
The only way to get the full benefit of the community’s services, though, is for the community to last for the duration of your retirement. If the community fails because of financial issues, you may not get a return of your deposit or other funds.
 
Don’t be afraid to ask about the community’s finances before you move in. The occupancy rate is an especially important point. If the community has a high level of vacancies, that could be a red flag. Ask why the vacancies exist and what’s being done to correct the issue. You may even ask to see the community’s balance sheet. Also, be sure to ask what happens to your deposit and payments if the community ever becomes financially insolvent.

Base Services and Extras
 
As you tour a retirement community, you will likely see flashy marketing materials that highlight fun activities and luxurious amenities. However, those items aren’t always included in your initial deposit and monthly payments. Many communities offer premium services and amenities for an extra cost.
 
For example, group outings could cost extra. While the community may have an association with a local golf or tennis club, you may have to pay membership dues to join. Also, it’s possible that your costs may change if you transition to assisted living or skilled nursing care. Ask plenty of questions to see how the costs will add up now and in the future.

Long-Term Care Insurance
 
If you’re in the early stages of retirement, you may not be thinking about long-term care. However, long-term care is an issue that many retirees will face at some point. It’s extended assistance with basic daily activities such as mobility, bathing and eating. Most communities offer some level of long-term care support, usually through an assisted living community.
 
If you already own long-term care insurance, check with your insurer to make sure it covers the community and its services. If you don’t have insurance, now may be the time to consider it. Your insurance policy could help cover some of your community payments should you ever need assisted living care or skilled nursing care. Your financial professional can help you determine which long-term care policy is right for you.
 
Ready to develop your retirement strategy? Let’s talk about it. Contact us today at Heritage Financial North. We can help you analyze your needs and implement a plan. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation.
 
Advisory Services Offered Through Change Path LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor. Heritage Financial North and Change Path LLC are not affiliated.
Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency.
17848 – 2018/7/30
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What Is a Comprehensive Financial Plan?

5/10/2018

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​Do you take a comprehensive approach to planning your finances? If the answer is no, you’re not alone. According to a study from the Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, only 19 percent of Americans could be classified as “comprehensive planners.” The remaining 81 percent either plan only for specific financial goals or don’t do any planning at all.1
 
A comprehensive financial plan is one that addresses your entire financial picture. It may include everything from retirement planning to investment management to risk management and much more. A comprehensive plan is often helpful because it can show you how financial decisions in one area of your life can impact goals in other areas of your financial life.
 
For example, you may have a plan for retirement. But do you know how your efforts to save for retirement impact other goals, such as saving for your child’s education or paying down high-interest debt? A comprehensive plan shows you the interaction between these goals so you can make more informed decisions.

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